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As part of an investigation of employee turnover, an industry-wide survey of people in sales management positions gave the number of years of experience in sales relate positions.

The objective is to construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the average years of experience of male and female sales managers.

Let:

  • Population 1 (µ₁): Male sales managers
  • Population 2 (µ₂): Female sales managers

We need to estimate:

μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2

Given Data

MalesFemales
Sample size (n)8070
Sample mean (x̄)21.7 years18.5 years
Standard deviation (s)9.3 years4.8 years

Therefore:

n1=80,n2=70n_1=80,\quad n_2=70 xˉ1=21.7,xˉ2=18.5\bar{x}_1=21.7,\quad \bar{x}_2=18.5 s1=9.3,s2=4.8s_1=9.3,\quad s_2=4.8

The difference between sample means is:

xˉ1xˉ2=21.718.5\bar{x}_1-\bar{x}_2=21.7-18.5 =3.2=3.2

Thus, the sample estimate of the difference in mean experience is 3.2 years.


Step 1: Formula for Confidence Interval

For two independent samples, the confidence interval for the difference of means is:

(xˉ1xˉ2)±Zα/2s12n1+s22n2(\bar{x}_1-\bar{x}_2)\pm Z_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1}+\frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}

Since the confidence level is 95%:

Zα/2=1.96Z_{\alpha/2}=1.96

Step 2: Calculate Standard Error

SE=9.3280+4.8270SE=\sqrt{\frac{9.3^2}{80}+\frac{4.8^2}{70}} =86.4980+23.0470=\sqrt{\frac{86.49}{80}+\frac{23.04}{70}} =1.0811+0.3291=\sqrt{1.0811+0.3291} =1.4102=\sqrt{1.4102} SE1.1875SE\approx1.1875

Step 3: Calculate Margin of Error

ME=1.96×SEME=1.96 \times SE =1.96×1.1875=1.96 \times 1.1875 =2.3275=2.3275

Step 4: Construct the Confidence Interval

(xˉ1xˉ2)±ME(\bar{x}_1-\bar{x}_2)\pm ME =3.2±2.3275=3.2\pm2.3275

Lower limit:

3.22.3275=0.87253.2-2.3275=0.8725

Upper limit:

3.2+2.3275=5.52753.2+2.3275=5.5275

Therefore, the 95% confidence interval is:

0.87<μ1μ2<5.53\boxed{0.87 < \mu_1-\mu_2 < 5.53}

Interpretation

We are 95% confident that the true difference between the average years of sales-related experience of male and female sales managers lies between 0.87 years and 5.53 years.

Since the entire confidence interval is positive, it suggests that male sales managers, on average, have more years of experience than female sales managers. The estimated difference is approximately 3.2 years, meaning males in these positions have about three more years of sales-related experience on average.

Thus, the final 95% confidence interval for the difference in population means is:

(0.87, 5.53) years\boxed{(0.87,\ 5.53)\text{ years}}

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